What’s the Final Cost of a GFV Loan for an Alphard? A Simulation Showing a Total Cost Over ¥7 Million with a ¥1 Million Down Payment and Refinancing

GFV Loan vs. Conventional Loan: A Comprehensive Comparison for the New Alphard

This simulation compares the purchase of the new Alphard using a conventional loan versus a Guaranteed Future Value (GFV) loan, assuming a ¥1 million down payment. We’ll use more realistic conditions, including all fees, for a more accurate interest calculation.

Simulation Conditions

  • Vehicle/Grade: New Alphard Z Grade (Gasoline, 2WD)
  • Total Vehicle Price: Approx. ¥6.5M (including vehicle price, fees, and options)
  • Down Payment: ¥1M
  • Loan Amount: ¥5.5M (¥6.5M – ¥1M)
  • Contract Term: 5 years (60 payments)
  • Interest Rate: 4.5% (Annual Percentage Rate – APR)
  • Bonus Payments: None
  • For GFV Loan Only:
    • 5-Year GFV Rate: 50%
    • Guaranteed Future Value (GFV): ¥3.25M (¥6.5M x 50%)

Comparison Chart: Conventional Loan vs. GFV Loan (with ¥1M Down Payment)

ItemConventional LoanGFV Loan
Down Payment¥1M¥1M
Loan Principal¥5.5M¥5.5M
Final Payment (GFV)None¥3.25M
Monthly Payment (Approx.)Approx. ¥102,500Approx. ¥47,500
Total Interest over 5 YearsApprox. ¥648,000Approx. ¥1,200,000*
Total Cost over 5 Years**Approx. ¥6,148,000Approx. ¥6,700,000

*The total interest for a GFV loan is higher because interest continues to be charged on the GFV (¥3.25M) for the entire 5 years. **Total Cost excludes the down payment and is the sum of the loan principal and total interest.


Three Key Takeaways from the Comparison

  • The Difference in Monthly Payments Is Clear: A GFV loan cuts the monthly payment to less than half of a conventional loan. While a conventional loan would cost over ¥100,000 a month even with a ¥1 million down payment, a GFV loan allows you to drive an Alphard for just ¥47,500 a month, significantly easing the financial burden on your household.
  • Total Interest is Nearly Double with a GFV Loan: The low monthly payments come at the cost of higher interest. This is because interest is charged on the GFV (¥3.25M) for the entire 5-year term. This is the main reason a GFV loan’s total cost can be so much higher.
  • Ultimately, the Total Cost of a GFV Loan Is Higher: Even with lower monthly payments, if you decide to buy the car at the end of the contract, the total cost of a GFV loan is over ¥500,000 more than a conventional loan. You are essentially paying extra in interest for the convenience of lower monthly payments.

Refinancing Simulation: Paying Off the GFV over 2 Years

Assuming the GFV loan contract ends after 5 years, let’s simulate refinancing the remaining GFV of ¥3.25M over an additional 2 years (24 payments).

  • GFV Amount: ¥3.25M
  • Refinancing Term: 2 years (24 payments)
  • Interest Rate for Refinancing: 4.5% (APR)
  • Bonus Payments: None

This is what the payment structure would look like:

ItemAmount
Refinanced Principal¥3.25M
Monthly Payment (Approx.)Approx. ¥142,000
Total Interest over 2 YearsApprox. ¥160,000
Total Cost over 2 YearsApprox. ¥3,410,000

Total Cost over 7 Years (5-Year GFV Loan + 2-Year Refinancing)

  • Down Payment: ¥1M
  • Total Payments from 5-Year GFV Loan: Approx. ¥2.85M
  • Total Payments from 2-Year Refinancing: Approx. ¥3.41M

Final Total Cost (over 7 years): ¥1,000,000 (Down Payment) + ¥2,850,000 (5-Year Payments) + ¥3,410,000 (2-Year Refinancing) = Approx. ¥7,260,000

Key Findings from this Simulation

  • Monthly Payments Skyrocket: While the initial GFV loan payment was a manageable ¥47,500, the monthly payment jumps dramatically to about ¥142,000 for the final 2 years as you are paying off the large GFV amount over a short period.
  • The Total Cost Gets Even Higher: A conventional loan is paid off in 5 years, but this GFV + refinancing plan takes 7 years. As a result, the total cost increases even more, making it over ¥1 million more expensive than a conventional loan.